Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
2.51) 
-0.79) 
