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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
LC

Port Vale
1 - 0
Lincoln

Butterworth (68')
Garrity (11'), Robinson (45+7'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

House (2'), Roughan (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln City

Port Vale have been scoring a lot of goals recently, but on Saturday they come up against a strong defensive unit which will create a genuine test. Both teams have been in better form as of late, but it is Lincoln City who come into this one in the midst of an undefeated streak, which could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
52.95% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 25.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)54.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (0.061 0.06)53.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)39.97% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)76.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 52.94%
    Lincoln City 21.83%
    Draw 25.21%
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One


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