Shrewsbury Town have been in poor form in the league recently, so we expect Oxford United to capitalise on that and go above their opponents in the table. Not only that, but the U's are good on their travels, and they will be buoyed by a recent win away at Bolton Wanderers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.