SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | York City |
44.66% ( 0.16) | 24.44% ( -0.01) | 30.89% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.01) | 44.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.01) | 66.94% ( 0.02) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.06) | 20.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.1) | 52.32% ( -0.1) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.1) | 27.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% ( -0.13) | 62.83% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.89% |
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