Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
53.05% ( -0.05) | 25.21% ( 0.02) | 21.74% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( -0.04) | 54.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( -0.04) | 75.8% ( 0.03) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( -0.04) | 20.52% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( -0.06) | 53.02% ( 0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( 0) | 40.08% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( 0) | 76.72% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.74% |
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