Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.