Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
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