SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
32.26% ( 1.12) | 26.04% ( 0.13) | 41.71% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -0.15) | 51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.13) | 72.87% ( 0.14) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( 0.68) | 29.66% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0.81) | 65.71% ( -0.81) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.68) | 24.21% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.45% ( -0.98) | 58.55% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.7% |
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