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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
54.99% ( 0.33) | 24.78% ( 0.35) | 20.23% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( -2.09) | 54.45% ( 2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% ( -1.77) | 75.81% ( 1.76) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.68) | 19.75% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.22% ( -1.11) | 51.78% ( 1.1) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( -1.92) | 41.68% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.84% ( -1.73) | 78.15% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.23% |
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