Accrington have been struggling since their loss in the reverse fixture, and are not likely to fare any better on Wednesday.
Grimsby will be keen to keep up with the pack of clubs fighting for the automatic promotion spot behind Walsall, and it is difficult to picture anything other than a routine win for the visitors on New Year's Day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.