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League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
GT

Accrington
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Woods (9', 82'), Whalley (60' pen.)
Love (35'), Coyle (44'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Green (5'), Khouri (39')
Khouri (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Grimsby Town

Accrington have been struggling since their loss in the reverse fixture, and are not likely to fare any better on Wednesday. Grimsby will be keen to keep up with the pack of clubs fighting for the automatic promotion spot behind Walsall, and it is difficult to picture anything other than a routine win for the visitors on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
32.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 26.44% (-0.169 -0.17) 41.24% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.641 0.64)52.65% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.547 0.55)74.3% (-0.54599999999999 -0.55)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.229 0.23)30.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.27200000000001 0.27)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.45 0.45)25.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.617 0.62)59.91% (-0.619 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 32.32%
    Grimsby Town 41.24%
    Draw 26.43%
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Accrington
Monday, December 16 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Harrogate
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two


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