SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
45.79% ( 0.74) | 26.33% ( 0.04) | 27.87% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( -0.56) | 54.04% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.47) | 75.47% ( 0.47) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 0.11) | 23.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.41% ( 0.16) | 57.59% ( -0.16) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.9) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.98) | 71.11% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.87% |
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