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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
AS

Carlisle
2 - 1
Accrington

Harris (11'), Armstrong (54')
Sadi (41'), Adu-Adjei (49'), Harper (50'), Breeze (81'), Jones (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Walton (73')
Rawson (29'), Khumbeni (58'), Whalley (66'), Walton (71'), Hunter (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Morecambe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Accrington Stanley

When two struggling teams go head-to-head, there is often a sense of opportunity for both sides to go all out in pursuit of maximum points – however, we believe this clash is more likely to end in a stalemate, given that both teams have been lacking sharpness in front of goal recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
38.8% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.88% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.79%
    Accrington Stanley 34.32%
    Draw 26.88%
Carlisle UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Morecambe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Accrington
Monday, December 16 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-2 Accrington
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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