Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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