SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
43.69% ( 0.55) | 25.78% ( -0) | 30.53% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.22) | 50.53% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.19) | 72.45% ( 0.19) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( 0.17) | 23.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( 0.25) | 56.84% ( -0.25) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.49) | 30.6% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( -0.58) | 66.84% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.53% |
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