With Forest Green having a poor home record and Colchester not performing well on the road there is a good chance one team can start to change their fortunes this weekend.
Considering the fact both are fighting at the bottom of the division a victory would mean a lot to either club, but it is likely the visitors that will just edge this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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