SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.52) | 26.45% ( 0.2) | 34.66% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.93) | 52.23% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.81) | 73.93% ( 0.81) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0.15) | 26.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( -0.2) | 61.37% ( 0.2) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.89) | 28.72% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -1.13) | 64.55% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66% |
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