Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
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