Barrow's poor winning record makes it difficult to imagine the hosts earning victory on Wednesday, and their goalscoring record means it is unlikely they will score more than once.
However, the Bluebirds have proven themselves capable of grinding out draws in the league, including against the Bantams in early December, so expect another low-scoring stalemate on New Year's Day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.