Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.03) 
