Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
