SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
45.96% ( 0.16) | 24.13% ( -0.01) | 29.91% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.01) | 43.62% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( -0.01) | 66.02% ( 0) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.06) | 19.15% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( 0.1) | 50.8% ( -0.1) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( -0.1) | 27.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.93% ( -0.13) | 63.06% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
