Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
-0.06) 
0) 
