Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.