Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.1) 
