Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
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