Forest Green were excellent against Colchester last time out, and if they can find a similar performance here, it is likely to be too much for Barrow. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, or indeed a Barrow win, but we just have a feeling that the hosts will edge this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
-0.54) 
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