Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
