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League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
MT

Crewe
2 - 2
Mansfield

Demetriou (32'), Adebisi (60')
Offord (37'), Thomas (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Keillor-Dunn (22', 26')
Keillor-Dunn (58'), Kilgour (59'), Quinn (63'), Reed (87')
MacDonald (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crewe
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Mansfield Town

This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not too much between the two sides in terms of quality. The two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they last locked horns in January, and we can see the same result occurring on Saturday, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
15.58% (-2.518 -2.52) 21.03% (-2.244 -2.24) 63.39% (4.76 4.76)
Both teams to score 49.45% (1.756 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (5.043 5.04)46.41% (-5.046 -5.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (4.57 4.57)68.69% (-4.571 -4.57)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)42.51% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.135 -0.14)78.87% (0.134 0.13)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (3.281 3.28)13.99% (-3.282 -3.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (6.097 6.1)41.5% (-6.098 -6.1)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 15.58%
    Mansfield Town 63.38%
    Draw 21.03%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.09% (-1.197 -1.2)
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-0 @ 2.18% (-0.524 -0.52)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 10% (-1.03 -1.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-1.367 -1.37)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 11.69% (-1.15 -1.15)
0-2 @ 11.5% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 7.54% (0.939 0.94)
1-3 @ 6.45% (0.778 0.78)
0-4 @ 3.71% (0.81 0.81)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.682 0.68)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.323 0.32)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.441 0.44)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.287 0.29)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.373 0.37)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 63.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crewe
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two


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