Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
15.58% ( -2.52) | 21.03% ( -2.24) | 63.39% ( 4.76) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 5.04) | 46.41% ( -5.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( 4.57) | 68.69% ( -4.57) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% ( -0.16) | 42.51% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( -0.14) | 78.87% ( 0.13) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% ( 3.28) | 13.99% ( -3.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.5% ( 6.1) | 41.5% ( -6.1) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 5.09% ( -1.2) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -1.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.37) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( -1.15) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.94) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.78) 0-4 @ 3.71% ( 0.81) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.32) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.44) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.29) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.65% Total : 63.38% |
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