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League Two | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
BC

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
23.8% (0.454 0.45) 27.03% (0.681 0.68) 49.17% (-1.135 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-1.367 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.011 -2.01)59.14% (2.011 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-1.579 -1.58)79.57% (1.579 1.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.707 -0.71)40.73% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.642 -0.64)77.32% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-1.384 -1.38)24.18% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-2.006 -2.01)58.51% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.8%
    Bradford City 49.17%
    Draw 27.02%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.725 0.73)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-0 Crewe
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Barrow
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Gillingham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Bradford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Sutton
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Bradford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two


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