Recent history favours MK Dons in this fixture, but Walsall's excellent start to the campaign cannot be ignored, so this is shaping up to be a very interesting match. We are expecting the points to be shared, though, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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