Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match.