Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.05) 
