Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.78) 
0.29) 
