Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
