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League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
SC

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
21.71% (-1.354 -1.35) 25.34% (-0.588 -0.59) 52.95% (1.94 1.94)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.907 0.91)54.96% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.744 0.74)76.24% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (-0.823 -0.82)40.41% (0.822 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-0.754 -0.75)77.03% (0.752 0.75)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (1.187 1.19)20.77% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (1.836 1.84)53.42% (-1.837 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 21.71%
    Stockport County 52.94%
    Draw 25.34%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.71%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Crawley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 3-2 Tranmere
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two


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