SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.79% ( 0.09) | 25.44% ( -0.01) | 32.77% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( 0.03) | 48.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( 0.03) | 70.46% ( -0.02) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.06) | 22.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( 0.08) | 56.78% ( -0.07) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.03) | 28.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -0.04) | 63.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.77% |
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