In what is a tough encounter to call on paper, home advantage and a strong recent cup record may favour Doncaster slightly in this one.
Accrington are notorious for struggling to get past the first round, and having been given a difficult draw, another early exit could be on the cards for Coleman's men.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
