Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.