SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
63.15% ( -0.05) | 19.09% ( 0.01) | 17.76% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.06) | 33.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.98% ( 0.07) | 55.02% ( -0.07) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( 0) | 10.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.77% ( 0.01) | 33.23% ( -0.01) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.09) | 31.86% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.1) | 68.3% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 63.15% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.09% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 17.76% |
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