Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
