SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Grimsby Town |
69.66% ( -0.15) | 18.62% ( 0) | 11.71% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( 0.35) | 44.47% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( 0.34) | 66.84% ( -0.34) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% ( 0.06) | 11.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.41% ( 0.13) | 36.58% ( -0.13) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.81% ( 0.48) | 47.19% ( -0.48) |
