Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.