Both teams are undefeated in their last four League Two games, and so it is too difficult to pick a winner, with the most likely result being a draw.
Crawley are a much-improved since they last took on Grimsby, losing 3-0 at Blundell Park back at the beginning of October, and a victory could do them the world of good in their bid to avoid relegation, potentially able to move seven points clear of the bottom two.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
