Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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