SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
20.27% ( 0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.27) | 57.17% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.88) | 45.47% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.84) | 67.8% ( 0.84) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.26) | 36.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( -0.26) | 73.26% ( 0.26) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( -0.47) | 15.66% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% ( -0.88) | 44.7% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.27% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.17% |
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