Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
