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League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
DR

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Doncaster

Umerah (38'), McDonald (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Faulkner (67')
Molyneux (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 0-2 Doncaster Rovers

Hartlepool have made a really disappointing start to the season and confidence is surely at a low point, whereas Doncaster are only looking up as they aim for the playoffs this season. Despite Hartlepool's decent home record, their winless run this season looks set to continue against a buoyant Doncaster. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
35.26% (-2.698 -2.7) 27.64% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 37.1% (2.759 2.76)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (0.311 0.31)56.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (0.249 0.25)77.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-1.503 -1.5)30.66% (1.503 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-1.813 -1.81)66.91% (1.811 1.81)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (1.895 1.9)29.52% (-1.895 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (2.252 2.25)65.54% (-2.251 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 35.26%
    Doncaster Rovers 37.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.396 0.4)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.597 0.6)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.318 0.32)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.37 0.37)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Hartlepool
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two


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