The international break arguably came at the wrong time for both clubs, even Hartlepool who were showing signs of getting back on track. Nevertheless, we still expect Mansfield to win this fixture relatively comfortably, possibly with a goal in either half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.13) 
