Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
