Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
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